Derek Nadin’s 5 year Consistency Plan – Final Review
I managed to get hold of a copy Derek Nadin’s 5 year Consistency Plan and I was very impressed with the simplicity of this system.
A few rules but relatively easy to understand and getting the selections takes a few minutes a day. Alright for the 9 to 5ers as the bets can be placed at any time.
There will occasions when one needs to be brave because losing runs have been up to 20 races although if backing each way then this comes down to 8. I believe his omitting course winners for national hunt to be an error because although a small number races, course winners have shown a 76% return on investment.
I have been able to research this system thoroughly and although the past is not always a good measure of the future I can confirm, but for minor blips that the results going back over six years are accurate and the system has been profitable every year.
Despite what he says about the system it is a back fitted system but it has shown consistency over many years and there is no reason to believe this cannot continue.
My research shows the flat system made 26% profit on return and the national hunt system made a 68% return on investment. With minor tweaking of the flat system I have got this up to a 50% return on investment.
UPDATE 29/11/2009
5 year consistency plan has had an awful time recently showing a 17 point loss over the last seven weeks = 30 losers 4 winners and a return, at inflated early prices of minus 17 points. the problem is it is a back fitted system ie: the 5 year results for the tracks show a profit and for each year over the 5 years the system itself has shown a profit. It is reasonable to assume therefore that an ongoing profit can be made with the system. it is in profit for 2009 but only minor profits.
however the system is flawed because for any five year period other than 2004 to 2008 you get a different set of winning and losing tracks also for any individual year you get a different set of winning and losing tracks. the flaw is in the statistical number of results at each track in total for each year which is a minute quantity and would be claimed to be statisically irrelevent and as such makes the data highly questionable and prone to flawed results as we have seen over the last couple of months.
the one additional area of the system however which has some statistical relevance is not backing races under 5 runners and it improves the profitability significantly and is logical. it still remains a positive review but id recommend use for small stakes and part of a portfolio because there will be losing runs and potential for the system to go against you.
Rating 3/5 Average performer but worth buying to have in the portfolio.
Click Here To Visit Derek Nadin’s 5 Year Consistency Plan Website
